July 6th MLB news ... Welcome to Baseball betting sportbook, the informational site for the gambler who loves to bet on baseball.
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In order to score a profit on a game as complex as baseball, the bettor needs to be as informed as possible on all of the key stats and trends. Whether you are looking for statistics on how a particular player hits lefties or an analysis on a pitching match-up, this site provides all of that and much more.
ALCS Game 1 Betting Preview: Yankees vs. Rangers2010-10-16
Sportsbook.com Betting Odds: New York -148, Texas +138; Total: 8
CC Sabathia (22-7, 3.21 ERA) and C.J. Wilson (16-8, 3.29 ERA) face off in Game 1 of the ALCS at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington on Friday. Both left-handers exit ALDS wins, with Sabathia giving up four runs (three earned) on five hits over six innings in Game 1 against Minnesota. Wilson was brilliant in Game 2 against the Rays, yielding just two hits in 6.1 shutout innings.
Despite Wilsonís performance, 71% of the baseball betting population at Sportsbook.com is backing the favored Yankees.
Sabathia has returned to earth a bit in his last three starts, going 2-1 with an ERA of 5.04. He faced Texas once this year, back on April 16 where he was also opposed by Wilson. Sabathia came out on the winning end of a 5-1 Yankee victory, going six innings and giving up one run on three hits while striking out nine. Heís had a fair amount of success against the Rangers in his career, carrying an 8-3 record and a 4.29 ERA into Fridayís matchup.
Game 1 marks the fourth time this year that Wilson faces the Yankees. He took the loss in that April 16 matchup and earned no-decisions in the next two starts, both Texas wins. Wilson has performed well at home this year, going 11-3 with a 3.78 ERA. That stat might bode well for the Rangers who took four of five home games from New York this year. Texas has also won 13 of Wilsonís last 16 starts, including seven of his last eight at home.
Given Wilsonís success in Arlington, these MLB betting trends indicate that the Rangers are a solid bet in Game 1:
Play Against - Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL, starting an over-rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest. (72-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.6%, +38.7 units. Rating = 3*).
WILSON is 25-7 (78.1%, +16.1 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record). The average score was WILSON 4.8, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 2*).
Now that you have the key numbers for tonightís game, head over to Sportsbook.com for your MLB betting pleasure.
ARIZONA at CHICAGO CUBS2009-10-02
ARIZONA is 18-40 (-24.8 Units) Apuestas Deportivas Golf Betting Online Bingo Online Bingo Rooms Matt Damon betting odds to win Poker Madden Betting Pandemonia
against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ARIZONA 3.9, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 2*)
FLORIDA at PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 17-19 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.9, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI
PITTSBURGH is 4-22 (-19.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of this season. The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.4, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 4*)
HOUSTON at NY METS
HOUSTON is 49-28 (+19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was HOUSTON 5.0, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)
WASHINGTON at ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 14-24 (-19.0 Units) against the money line vs. a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse over the last 3 seasons. The average score was ATLANTA 4.4, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 2*)
MILWAUKEE at ST LOUIS
MILWAUKEE is 10-30 (-20.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the last 2 seasons. The average score was MILWAUKEE 3.8, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 2*)
SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 21-8 (+20.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of this season. The average score was SAN DIEGO 4.8, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 5*)
COLORADO at LA DODGERS
COLORADO is 5-16 (-11.7 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game in 2009. The average score was COLORADO 3.6, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 1*)
CHI WHITE SOX at DETROIT
DETROIT is 20-26 (-14.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of this season. The average score was DETROIT 4.2, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 1*)
TORONTO at BALTIMORE
TORONTO is 29-17 (+12.5 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game in 2009. The average score was TORONTO 5.3, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 1*)
CLEVELAND at BOSTON
BOSTON is 36-13 (+20.3 Units) against the money line vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse this season. The average score was BOSTON 6.1, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 2*)
NY YANKEES at TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 4-14 (-11.2 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game in the second half of this season. The average score was TAMPA BAY 3.2, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 1*)
KANSAS CITY at MINNESOTA
KANSAS CITY is 13-31 (-15.7 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. The average score was KANSAS CITY 3.6, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 1*)
LA ANGELS at OAKLAND
LA ANGELS are 21-9 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. The average score was LA ANGELS 5.3, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 2*)
TEXAS at SEATTLE
SEATTLE is 31-20 (+16.1 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in 2009. The average score was SEATTLE 4.6, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 2*)
MLB Series Betting- Tampa Bay at Kansas City2009-07-21
The Tampa Bay Rays start the second half of the season believing they can play much better baseball then they did most of the first half of the year. The Rays (48-41, -0.7 units) trail the New York Yankees by four losses in the wild card chase and Boston by seven for the AL East division lead. In some ways, Tampa Bay feels fortunate they are still within reach of the postseason after floundering at or below .500 for the first two months of the season. "We didn't play nearly our best baseball," Rays manager Joe Maddon said. "We did at times, but a little bit too streaky."
One area that needs immediate shoring up is Tampaís play on the road. They Rays are 18-26 (-7.8) and the skipper thinks his team is capable of turning this around. ďWe just have to get out there in the second half. We have to take advantage and not make the same kinds of mistakes that put us in a bind in the first half. We're capable of that. We're capable of playing a higher level of baseball on a more consistent basis." Maddon said.
Kansas City (37-51, -13.9 units) starts the second half having lost five of six and in search of winning formula from last September that fueled this seasonís optimism. The Royals first order of business is finding ways to score more runs. Kansas City ranks 28th in runs scored at 3.9 per game and hopes Alex Gordon can provide offensive punch coming off of hip surgery.
Because ace Zach Greinke (10-5, 2.12 ERA) only pitched one inning in the All-Star game, Royals manager Trey Hillman moved him up to start the series. Greinke hasnít been quite as effective as he was early in the season, when he was un-hittable and has lost his last two starts, though the 3-1 loss the last time out was in part due to shabby K.C. defense. The Royals are -120 money line favorites at Sportsbook.com, with total 07. Greinke and the Royals are 16-6 when the money line is +125 to -125 and 18-6 UNDER in the second half of the season.
Tampa Bay will counter with James Shields (6-6, 3.42), who is 2-4 on the road, with the Rays winners only twice in his eight starts as visitor. The Rays are off a pair of losses, but have enjoyed great success on Fridayís with 29-11 mark. Shieldsí has liked the look of Royals uniform and is 5-0 with a 2.50 ERA in five career starts against Kansas City. Heís averaged nearly a strikeout per inning against K.C. (32) in the 36 innings heís worked, while allowing just three free passes. The Rays are 14-3 UNDER July in road games since last year.
Game 1 Edge: Tampa Bay
Because of the shifting of Royals rotation, Brian Bannister (6-7, 3.66) is expected to be the starter for Game 2. Bannister is off arguably the best game of his career, throwing seven shutout innings at Boston before tiring slightly in allowing one run on three hits in over 7 2/3 in 3-1 triumph. Coming into the series, Kansas City had won only three of last dozen contests at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals are 4-1 in Bannisterís home starts against winning teams and 6-2 if favored.
Only staunch baseball bettors might know this, Tampa Bayís offense ranks third in baseball at 5.3 runs per game. Besides pounding out 9.3 hits per game on average, the former Devil Rays have newfound patience as the dish, walking 4.1 times per game, which is third best in baseball, just behind the Yankees and Red Sox. The former masthead of the Rays staff, Scott Kazmir (4-5, 7.11) will take the ball for middle encounter. Since being injured, the lefthander has not been effective, but at least pain-free. Having last won on May 9, Kazmir hopes pitching in a Game 2 situation will turn luck around since he and his teammates are 22-5 in that spot.
Game 2 Edge: Kansas City
The series finale will be afternoon affair. The Rays are 16-13 playing in the light of day, with Kansas City unsightly 12-19. Matt Garza (6-7, 3.73) is one of the American Leagueís biggest enigmas. Only a handful of hurlers have his stuff, yet he finds a way to have one bad inning and has losing record. Heís 0-4 with 4.02 ERA against K.C. The Royals will send Luke Hochevar (5-3, 5.34) to toe the slap. Since returning in early June for stint in minors, Hochevar has pitched up to his capabilities, with 5-1 record and 3.97 ERA. Besides the quality record, heís been innings-eater with six of last seven starts lasting as least six innings.
Game 3 Edge: Kansas City
Thought this was a good week to change it up and go with a few teams that donít receive much of the acclaim. The matchup is very close, but Tampa Bay has poor road record and two of its starters in this series are fumbling along, not pitching well. Similar to a thin slice of pastrami, Iíll support the Royals by the slimmest of margins.
Sportsbook.com series odds: Tampa Bay -125, Kansas City -105
StatFox Edge Pick: Kansas City