ALCS Game 1 Betting Preview: Yankees vs. Rangers


ALCS Game 1 Betting Preview: Yankees vs. Rangers




ALCS Game 1 Betting Preview: Yankees vs. Rangers


2010-10-16

Sportsbook.com Betting Odds: New York -148, Texas +138; Total: 8

CC Sabathia (22-7, 3.21 ERA) and C.J. Wilson (16-8, 3.29 ERA) face off in Game 1 of the ALCS at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington on Friday. Both left-handers exit ALDS wins, with Sabathia giving up four runs (three earned) on five hits over six innings in Game 1 against Minnesota. Wilson was brilliant in Game 2 against the Rays, yielding just two hits in 6.1 shutout innings.

Despite Wilsonís performance, 71% of the baseball betting population at Sportsbook.com is backing the favored Yankees.

Sabathia has returned to earth a bit in his last three starts, going 2-1 with an ERA of 5.04. He faced Texas once this year, back on April 16 where he was also opposed by Wilson. Sabathia came out on the winning end of a 5-1 Yankee victory, going six innings and giving up one run on three hits while striking out nine. Heís had a fair amount of success against the Rangers in his career, carrying an 8-3 record and a 4.29 ERA into Fridayís matchup.

Game 1 marks the fourth time this year that Wilson faces the Yankees. He took the loss in that April 16 matchup and earned no-decisions in the next two starts, both Texas wins. Wilson has performed well at home this year, going 11-3 with a 3.78 ERA. That stat might bode well for the Rangers who took four of five home games from New York this year. Texas has also won 13 of Wilsonís last 16 starts, including seven of his last eight at home.

Given Wilsonís success in Arlington, these MLB betting trends indicate that the Rangers are a solid bet in Game 1:

Play Against - Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL, starting an over-rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest. (72-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.6%, +38.7 units. Rating = 3*).

WILSON is 25-7 (78.1%, +16.1 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record). The average score was WILSON 4.8, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 2*).

Now that you have the key numbers for tonightís game, head over to Sportsbook.com for your MLB betting pleasure.

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